Ammonia Prices, Trends & Historical Data | IMARC Group

Explore the latest Ammonia Prices, historical data, price chart, index updates, and 2025–2026 forecast across top global markets.

Ammonia Price Trends in North America: Q1 2025 Overview

Ammonia Prices in United States:

During Q1 2025, ammonia prices in the United States experienced moderate fluctuations, reaching 510 USD/ton by March. This movement was influenced by reduced demand from the agricultural fertilizer sector, which weighed on prices. However, steady industrial demand from manufacturing, refrigeration, and emissions control helped stabilize the market. The Ammonia Historical Price Chart reflects these trends, while the Ammonia Price Forecast anticipates continued balance between these opposing forces in upcoming quarters.

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Ammonia Price Trends in APAC: Q1 2025 Overview

Ammonia Prices in China:

During Q1 2025, the Ammonia Price Index in China stabilized around 360 USD/Ton by March, supported by seasonal factors and improved logistics after early disruptions. Initial volatility caused by port congestion and fluctuating freight rates eased as cargo movement and distribution efficiency improved post-Lunar New Year. This stabilization is reflected in the Ammonia Historical Price Data and informs the Ammonia Price Forecast for the coming quarters.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be extended to provide detailed Ammonia price information for the following list of countries.

China, India, Indonesia, Pakistan, Bangladesh, Japan, Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, South Korea, Malaysia, Nepal, Taiwan, Sri Lanka, Hongkong, Singapore, Australia, and New Zealand, among other Asian countries.

Ammonia Price Trends in Europe: Q1 2025 Overview

Ammonia Prices in Germany:

During Q1 2025, ammonia prices in Germany showed significant volatility, reaching 660 USD/Ton by March. This fluctuation was mainly driven by instability in natural gas costs, which increased production expenses. Seasonal demand from early spring agricultural activities added upward pressure, while global supply constraints, including import restrictions on Russian petrochemical products, further tightened availability. The Ammonia Price History Chart and Ammonia Price Forecast reflect these dynamic market conditions.

Regional Analysis:  The price analysis can be expanded to include detailed Ammonia price data for a wide range of European countries:

such as Germany, France, the United Kingdom, Italy, Spain, Russia, Turkey, the Netherlands, Poland, Sweden, Belgium, Austria, Ireland, Switzerland, Norway, Denmark, Romania, Finland, the Czech Republic, Portugal, and Greece, along with other European nations.

Factors Affecting Ammonia Price Trend, Index, and Forecast

1. Natural Gas and Energy Costs: Ammonia production is highly energy-intensive, making prices extremely sensitive to natural gas costs. Fluctuations in energy markets or supply disruptions can quickly impact ammonia prices worldwide.
2. Supply and Demand Balance: Global prices are shaped by the balance between production and demand, especially from fertilizer, industrial, and emerging clean energy sectors. In 2025, prices have softened as supply stabilized and demand slowed, but restocking and seasonal agricultural needs can trigger short-term rebounds.
3. Geopolitical and Trade Factors: Sanctions, export restrictions, and trade policy changes—particularly involving Russia, China, and the Middle East—affect global supply chains and regional price differences. Import-dependent regions are especially vulnerable to these shifts.
4. Weather and Logistics: Extreme weather events, port congestion, and transportation disruptions can limit supply or delay deliveries, adding volatility and causing localized price spikes.
5. Regulatory and Environmental Policies: Stricter environmental regulations, new government subsidies, and the rise of green ammonia projects are reshaping production costs and long-term market dynamics.

Ammonia Price Forecast

Ammonia prices in 2025 are expected to remain moderately volatile, with averages ranging from $360/MT in China to $660/MT in Germany and $510/MT in the US. The outlook is for stable to slightly firm prices, driven by energy costs, supply-demand shifts, and ongoing geopolitical and regulatory influences.

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